Will North Korea Detonate a Nuke by March 31?
Market Information
| Market Open Date | Start Date | Market Close Date | Currency | Profit Fee |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-03 | 2024-02-01 05:26 ET | 2024-03-31 | USD | 0% |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic People's Public of Korea (North Korea) detonates a nuclear device in any capacity by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations. Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation initiated by North Korea will result in a "Yes" resolution. This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting. For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.