Will North Korea Detonate a Nuke by March 31st, 2024?

Market Expired

Contract

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2024-03-03 2024-04-01 USD 0%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic People's Public of Korea (North Korea) detonates a nuclear device in any capacity by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations. Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation initiated by North Korea will result in a "Yes" resolution. This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting. For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.

"Bet Locks" are enabled, meaning that bets which take place after the event can be reversed, and one must wait three days to withdrawal after selling out of this market.

No fees of any kind are assessed on this market.