Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Contract

Best Yes Price

19¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 19%
European Decimal Odds: 5.263
American Odds: +426.3
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Start Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2024-03-26 2024-02-01 05:26 ET 2024-11-05 USD 0%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if third-party candidates combined receive 10% or more of the total popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Third-party candidates refer to any candidates not running as a Democrat or Republican, including candidates running as independents.

There are "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later.  The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .1*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the taker fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20.