How Many Countries Will Ratify NATO Accession of Finland or Sweden by September 1?

Market Resolved: 21-25

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American Odds: -
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Contract

Best Yes Price

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Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

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Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
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Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2022-07-05 2022-09-01 USD 0%

Rules

This market will resolve positively to the bracket in which falls the number of North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) member states that have formally ratified the accession protocols of Finland and/or Sweden to join NATO by September 1, 2022. In the event that a country has ratified the accession protocols for only one of the two countries, that will be sufficient to count for this market. The resolution source will be official reporting from NATO or a consensus of credible reporting from the governments of NATO member countries. If the Ministry for Foreign Affairs (MFA) for a member country announces ratification or the MFA for Finland and/or Sweden confirms a country's ratification, this will be considered satisfactory for this market. If a country later revokes ratification, this will have no bearing on market outcome. Insight Prediction maintains complete discretion over the resolution of this market in the event of irregularities or political controversy. End Date: 09/01/2022.

There are "taker fees" on this market, of .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .075*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20. The full taker fee schedule is here.