Will Total exaFLOPS of all TOP500 Supercomputers Exceed 500 by June 2030?


Supercomputer Development
Supercomputer Development

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Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2022-03-21 2030-01-07 USD 3%


This market will resolve "Yes" if the total exaFLOPS of all TOP500 supercomputers exceed 500 by any point before June 2030. 

The TOP500 project collects and ranks system performance metrics of the most powerful non-distributed computer systems in the world. The project was started in 1993 and publishes an updated list of the supercomputers twice a year. The first of these updates always coincides with the International Supercomputing Conference in June, and the second is presented at the ACM/IEEE Supercomputing Conference in November.

The TOP500 ranks high-performance computing (HPC) by recording how fast a computer system solves a dense n by n system of linear equations in double precision (64 bits) arithmetic on distributed-memory computers (TOP500, 2019). This is an implementation of the High Performance Computing Linpack Benchmark.

Historical data can be found here. In November 2021, the summed performance of all TOP500 supercomputers stood at 3.00 exaFLOPS. Market via Hypermind

There is a 3% profit fee on this market. End Date 01/07/2030