Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) Win the NY-14 Democratic Primary?


Best Yes Price



Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 99.7%
European Decimal Odds: 1.003
American Odds: -33233.3
Ask Price Ask Size
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Taker Fee Maker Subsidy
2024-06-11 2024-07-01 USD 0.075% -0.025%


This market will resolve positively if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) wins the NY-14 Democratic Primary, currently scheduled for June 25, 2024. This market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.

Note: For the purposes of this market, a minimum of 3 race calls from Associated Press / New York Times, NBC/CNN, FOX News, and Decision Desk HQ will suffice to establish a consensus of credible reporting.

There are "maker subsidies" and "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later.  The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .1*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the taker fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20. The maker subsidy for the same trade would be $0.40.