Will Russia Take Siversk by July 26th?

Market Resolved: NO

Contract

Best Yes Price

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Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Taker Fee
2022-07-19 2022-07-27 USD 0.075%

Rules

This market will resolve positively if Russia has control of the central train station of Siversk, Ukraine, at midnight ET on July 26th, 2022, according to maps provided by https://understandingwar.org/ (The Institute for the Study of War, or ISW)

If not, then the market resolves as "No". 

The train station is essentially located in the center of the city. See the train icon below. This area must be red for the market to resolve as "Yes". 

If the ISW map is unavailable, we will use the liveuamaps instead. 

There are "taker fees" on this market, of .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .075*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20. There are no "maker" fees of any kind.  The full taker fee schedule is here.  End Date: 08/15/2022

$720