Will the Crimean Bridge Be Damaged by August 21?


Best Yes Price



Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Ask Price Ask Size
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2022-07-21 2022-08-22 USD 0%


This market will resolve positively if the Institute of War (ISW) announces or comments that an attack on the Crimean Bridge (Kherch Bridge) has occurred, with physical damage to the bridge sustained. For the purposes of this market, a failed strike or bombing that is intercepted without damage occurring will not be sufficient for resolution. If the ISW does not report any attack by the market end time (August 21, 2022 11:59PM ET), then this market will resolve to No. If such an attack is reported by other sources but not reported by the ISW, then the market will still resolve to No. Insight Prediction reserves the right of judgment in the event of any ambiguity.

There are "taker fees" on this market, of .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .075*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20. The full taker fee schedule is here. End Date: 08/21/2022