Will Ukraine Retake Control of Seiveirodonetsk, Kreminna, Lysychansk, Melitopol, Mariupol, Tokmak, Donetsk, or Svatove by September 15th?
Market Information
| Market Open Date | Market Close Date | Currency | Profit Fee |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-10 | 2023-09-16 | USD | 0% |
Rules
This market will resolve as "Yes" if, at any point in time before September 15th, 2023, Ukraine retakes control of any of the following central points in any of these cities, according to maps provided by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW): the train station "Avtovokzal" in Seiveirodonetsk, the intersection of R66 and "Kosmonavta Titova Vulytsa" in Kreminna, any part of "Karl Marks street (Vulytsa)" in Lysychansk, "Donetsk (railroad) Station" in Donetsk, the central train station in Melitopol, Azovstal station in Mariupol, the train station "Verkniy Tokmak" in Tokmak, or Svatove train station in Svatove.
There are "maker subsidies" and "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later. The maker subsidies are .025 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Maker Subsidy per share = .025*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .075*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the maker subsidy to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.025*(20/100)*(80/100) = $0.40, and the taker fee would be $1.20. The full fee schedule is here. End date: 9/15/2023.