When Will the Russia-Ukraine War End?

Contract

Before Oct. 1, 2022
Before Oct. 1, 2022

Latest Yes Price

Options

Latest Price Implies

Implied Probability: 4%
European Decimal Odds: 25
American Odds: +2400
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size

Contract

Oct. 1 -  Dec. 31, 2022
Oct. 1 - Dec. 31, 2022

Latest Yes Price

13¢

Options

Latest Price Implies

Implied Probability: 13%
European Decimal Odds: 7.692
American Odds: +669.2
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size

Contract

After 2022
After 2022

Latest Yes Price

83¢

Options

Latest Price Implies

Implied Probability: 83%
European Decimal Odds: 1.205
American Odds: -488.2
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2022-04-28 2022-12-15 USD 3%

Rules

This market will resolve positively based on the date (Eastern Standard Time) of an announcement of an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine. A signed or announced agreement must be acknowledged by both Russia and Ukraine to count. The Ukrainian government as recognized by the European Union must be party to the agreement to count. An armistice or a ceasefire of indefinite duration would count and must include the whole of Ukraine. Time-limited agreements (e.g., 72-hour ceasefire) would not count. The date an agreement would take effect is immaterial. Market rules via GJOPEN

There is a 3% profit fee on this market. End Date: 12/01/2022