When Will the Russia-Ukraine War End?

Contract

Before Oct. 1, 2022

Best Yes Price

0.1¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 0.1%
European Decimal Odds: 1000
American Odds: +99900
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Oct. 1 - Dec. 31, 2022

Best Yes Price

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 3%
European Decimal Odds: 33.333
American Odds: +3233.3
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

After 2022

Best Yes Price

99.5¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 99.5%
European Decimal Odds: 1.005
American Odds: -19900
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2022-04-28 2023-01-03 USD 3%

Rules

This market will resolve positively based on the date (Eastern Standard Time) of an announcement of an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine. A signed or announced agreement must be acknowledged by both Russia and Ukraine to count. The Ukrainian government as recognized by the European Union must be party to the agreement to count. An armistice or a ceasefire of indefinite duration would count and must include the whole of Ukraine. Time-limited agreements (e.g., 72-hour ceasefire) would not count. The date an agreement would take effect is immaterial. Market rules via GJOPEN

There is a 3% profit fee on this market. End Date: 12/01/2022