Will Netanyahu Be Prime Minister Through the End of 2023?


Best Yes Price



Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 96%
European Decimal Odds: 1.042
American Odds: -2400
Ask Price Ask Size
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2023-10-25 2024-01-01 USD 0%


This market will resolve as yes if Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel through the end of 2023, specifically through midnight 12/31/2023 Eastern Standard Time. If Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be the Prime Minister of Israel at any point before that date, this market will resolve "No".

The "Bet Locks" feature is enabled.  This means that bets placed after announcement of Netanyahu leaving office or confirmation will be returned. This could also include an announcement that Netanyahu has suffered a debilitating injury, such as a stroke or heart attack, or from from a car accident that ultimately results in him leaving office, or from an announcement that he will step down in the future. Funds from liquidated positions will be unable to be withdrawn or traded for 72-hours.

There are "maker subsidies" and "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later. The maker subsidies are .025 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Maker Subsidy per share = .025*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .075*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the maker subsidy to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.025*(20/100)*(80/100) = $0.40, and the taker fee would be $1.20. The full fee schedule is here. End Date: 1/1/2024