Will North Korea Invade South Korea in 2024?


Best Yes Price


Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 6%
European Decimal Odds: 16.667
American Odds: +1566.7
Ask Price Ask Size
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Start Date Market Close Date Currency
2024-03-03 2024-02-01 05:26 ET 2024-12-31 USD


This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of South Korea by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by North Korea, South Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.