Will North Korea Invade South Korea in 2024?

Contract

Best Yes Price

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 6%
European Decimal Odds: 16.667
American Odds: +1566.7
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Start Date Market Close Date Currency
2024-03-03 2024-02-01 05:26 ET 2024-12-31 USD

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of South Korea by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by North Korea, South Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.