Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31?
Market Information
| Market Open Date | Start Date | Market Close Date | Currency | Profit Fee |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-25 | 2024-03-11 16:40 ET | 2024-03-31 | USD | 0% |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM Palestine Standard Time (UTC +2), the New York Times or WSJ reports that Israel has initiated a ground offensive within Rafah. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Reports of small raids or special operations will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source of this market will be reporting from the New York Times or the Wall Street Journal.
There are "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later. The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .1*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the taker fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20.