Will Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate?


Best Yes Price



Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 37%
European Decimal Odds: 2.703
American Odds: +170.3
Ask Price Ask Size
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Start Date Market Close Date Currency Taker Fee
2024-06-04 2024-06-03 17:42 ET 2024-06-27 USD 0.075%


This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Joe Biden shake hands at any point immediately before, during, or immediately after the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle, currently scheduled for June 27, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No." For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, it must occur within the room that the debate takes place in. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

There are "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later.  The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .1*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the taker fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20.