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Place your bets on real-world questions and see the market consensus.

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Featured Markets

Last price
Best price

Will Elon Musk Father Another Child Before August 2023?

Resolution Date: Aug 2, 2023

Volume

$3,750

Yes

35%

No

65%

Will Ayatollah Khamenei Remain Supreme Leader of Iran Through 2022?

Resolution Date: Jan 1, 2023

Volume

$3,220

Yes

97%

No

3%

Will Sam Bankman-Fried Go on the Run Before 2023?

Resolution Date: Jan 1, 2023

Volume

$3,202

Yes

14%

No

86%

Will Ukraine Take Melitopol by December 30th?

Resolution Date: Dec 31, 2022

Volume

$1,041

Yes

12%

No

88%

Will Twitter Have an Outage by December 10th?

Resolution Date: Dec 11, 2022

Volume

$750

Yes

55%

No

45%

Will Ukraine Control Melitopol on February 15th?

Resolution Date: Feb 16, 2023

Volume

$280

Yes

34%

No

66%

Will Ukraine Control Sievierodonetsk on February 15, 2023?

Resolution Date: Feb 16, 2023

Volume

$15

Yes

45%

No

55%

FIFA World Cup 2022: USA vs Netherlands

Start date: Dec 3, 2022

Volume

-

USA

24.4%

Netherlands

50.5%
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Popular Markets

The Open Winner

Start date: Jul 19, 2023

Volume

$1,200

Rory McIlroy

7.9%

Jon Rahm

6.2%

Will Donald Trump Become President by the End of 2022?

Resolution Date: Dec 31, 2022

Volume

$16,163

Yes

0.1%

No

99.9%

Will Vladimir Putin Remain President of Russia Through 2022?

Resolution Date: Jan 5, 2023

Volume

$165,948

Yes

96%

No

4%

Will There Be an Armed Conflict Between Taiwan and China by 2023?

Resolution Date: Jan 1, 2023

Volume

$8,680

Yes

3%

No

97%

Will Volodymyr Zelensky Remain President of Ukraine by 2023?

Resolution Date: Jan 15, 2023

Volume

$42,592

Yes

99.7%

No

0.3%

Who Will Win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?

Resolution Date: Jul 6, 2023

Volume

$14,058

Donald Trump

46%

Ron DeSantis

30%

Which 2022 Senate Race Will Be the Closest?

Resolution Date: Mar 1, 2023

Volume

$14

Georgia

25%

Nevada

92%

Will There be a Comment Paper Accepted on any Article by Nick Bloom, John van Reenen, Enrico Spolaore, or Romain Wacziarg by 12/31/2023?

Resolution Date: Jan 5, 2023

Volume

$200

Yes

13%

No

87%

Will Predictit Survive?

Resolution Date: Feb 16, 2023

Volume

$6,645

Yes

12%

No

88%

Will Joe Biden Remain President Through 2022?

Resolution Date: Jan 2, 2023

Volume

$4,721

Yes

99%

No

1%

Who Will Be Speaker of the House on January 1, 2024?

Resolution Date: Jan 3, 2024

Volume

$1,704

Kevin McCarthy

88%

Hakeem Jeffries

1%

Who Will Win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Resolution Date: Oct 1, 2024

Volume

$8,438

Joe Biden

40%

Gavin Newsom

30%

Who Will Be Speaker of the House of Representatives in the Next Congress?

Resolution Date: Jan 1, 2025

Volume

$3,747

Kevin McCarthy

90%

Steve Scalise

6%

NFL 2022/23: Who Will Win the AFC South?

Start date: Nov 3, 2022

Volume

$500

Indianapolis Colts

6.3%

Tennessee Titans

83.6%

NFL 2023: Who Will Win the NFC South?

Start date: Nov 6, 2022

Volume

-

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

72.5%

New Orleans Saints

9.6%

Will Insight Prediction Become a Unicorn by the End of 2025?

Resolution Date: Jan 5, 2026

Volume

$40,489

Yes

1.1%

No

98.9%

Will Russian Troops Enter Lviv in 2022?

Resolution Date: Jan 7, 2023

Volume

$4,750

Yes

2%

No

98%

Chess: Will FIDE Ban Hans Niemann?

Resolution Date: Feb 1, 2023

Volume

$1,101

Yes

6%

No

94%

Will Alexander Lukashenko Remain President of Belarus Through 2022?

Resolution Date: May 1, 2023

Volume

$8,796

Yes

98%

No

2%

When Will Rishi Sunak Leave Office?

Resolution Date: Jan 2, 2024

Volume

$300

Before January 1, 2023

2%

From January 1, 2023 to December 31, 2023

24%

Will Joe Biden Be Impeached by June 30, 2023?

Resolution Date: Jul 2, 2023

Volume

$3,010

Yes

10%

No

90%

Will There Be a Nuclear Accident in Ukraine in 2022?

Resolution Date: Jan 1, 2023

Volume

$4,075

Yes

5%

No

95%

Will Milo Yiannopoulos Return to Twitter by 2023?

Resolution Date: Jan 5, 2023

Volume

$3,320

Yes

7%

No

93%

Will Russia Invade Any Country Other Than Ukraine in 2022?

Resolution Date: Jan 4, 2023

Volume

$2,850

Yes

3%

No

97%

Will Russia Formally Declare War on Ukraine in 2022?

Resolution Date: Jan 2, 2023

Volume

$10,751

Yes

5%

No

95%

Will There Be a Nuclear Escalation in 2022?

Resolution Date: Jan 4, 2023

Volume

$8,420

Yes

9%

No

91%

Will 2022 be the Hottest Year on Record?

Resolution Date: Apr 1, 2023

Volume

$901

Yes

2%

No

98%

Will Russian Troops Enter Odessa, Ukraine in 2022?

Resolution Date: Dec 7, 2023

Volume

$8,755

Yes

3%

No

97%

Will Russian Troops Enter Kiev in 2022?

Resolution Date: Jan 7, 2023

Volume

$20,028

Yes

4%

No

96%

Will Dianne Feinstein Remain a Senator for the Duration of 2022?

Resolution Date: Jan 4, 2023

Volume

$5,387

Yes

99.5%

No

0.5%

Will Ukraine Control Kherson City on December 25th, 2022?

Resolution Date: Dec 26, 2022

Volume

$35,143

Yes

99.8%

No

0.2%

Will Dan Ariely Have a Paper Retracted in 2022?

Resolution Date: Jan 7, 2023

Volume

$727

Yes

5%

No

95%

Will Ukraine be Partitioned? (200,000 km2)

Resolution Date: Jan 1, 2023

Volume

$4,950

Yes

4%

No

96%

When Will the Russia-Ukraine War End?

Resolution Date: Jan 3, 2023

Volume

$17,538

Before Oct. 1, 2022

0.1%

Oct. 1 - Dec. 31, 2022

3%

Will Cochise Country Certify the 2022 Midterm Election Results by December 5?

Resolution Date: Dec 6, 2022

Volume

-

Yes

92%

No

8%

Which Party Will Win the 2022 U.S. Senate Election in Georgia?

Resolution Date: Dec 31, 2022

Volume

$10,905

Democratic

91%

Republican

24.5%

Will the NBER Declare a Recession in 2022?

Resolution Date: Mar 31, 2023

Volume

$6,175

Yes

24%

No

76%

Will Twitter Report More Than 240 Million Monthly Active Users in Q4 2022? 

Resolution Date: Mar 1, 2023

Volume

-

Yes

90%

No

10%

Will Ryan Enos Have a Paper Retracted in 2022?

Resolution Date: Jan 1, 2023

Volume

$2,992

Yes

1%

No

99%

Will Rochelle Walensky Remain CDC Director Through the End of the Year?

Resolution Date: Jan 1, 2023

Volume

$1

Yes

99%

No

1%

Will Mike Pence File to Run for President Before 2023?

Resolution Date: Jan 1, 2023

Volume

$601

Yes

5%

No

95%

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be Overturned by 2024?

Resolution Date: Jan 2, 2024

Volume

$670

Yes

17%

No

83%

Will Ukraine Control Sievierodonetsk on December 5th, 2022?

Resolution Date: Dec 6, 2022

Volume

$1,535

Yes

4.5%

No

95.5%

Will the US Rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal Before 2023?

Resolution Date: Jan 4, 2023

Volume

$4,813

Yes

4%

No

96%

Who Will Be Senate Majority Leader on Feb. 1, 2023?

Resolution Date: Feb 2, 2023

Volume

$7,715

Mitch McConnell

1%

Chuck Schumer

38%

Which Party Will Win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Resolution Date: Jan 21, 2025

Volume

$197

Democrats

46%

Republicans

54.8%

Will Kari Lake Concede by December 15?

Resolution Date: Dec 16, 2022

Volume

$230

Yes

31%

No

69%

Will Kamala Harris Be the 47th US President? (ETH)

Resolution Date: Feb 1, 2025

Volume

0.71000 Ethereum (ETH)

Yes

20%

No

80%

Chess: Will GM Hans Niemann Win His Lawsuit?

Resolution Date: Jan 1, 2024

Volume

-

Yes

-

No

-

Will Annual **Nominal U.S. GDP Growth** Be Above 7.5% in 2022?

Resolution Date: Jan 26, 2023

Volume

$250

Yes

59.5%

No

40.5%

How Many Republican Governors Will There Be After the Midterms?

Resolution Date: Feb 11, 2023

Volume

$9

32 or more

11%

31

18%

How Many Republican Seats in the House of Representatives after 2022 Midterms?

Resolution Date: Dec 31, 2022

Volume

$4

220 or Less

0.1%

221

14%

Will Trump Tweet Before 2023?

Resolution Date: Jan 1, 2023

Volume

$26

Yes

39%

No

61%

Who Will Win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (BTC)

Resolution Date: Dec 15, 2024

Volume

-

Ron DeSantis

-

Donald Trump

-

Will Anthony Fauci Remain NIAID Director Through the End of the Year?

Resolution Date: Jan 2, 2023

Volume

$602

Yes

8.5%

No

91.5%

Will Donald Trump Be Indicted in 2022?

Resolution Date: Jan 1, 2023

Volume

$5,404

Yes

10%

No

90%

Will Alex Jones Return to Twitter by 2023?

Resolution Date: Jan 5, 2023

Volume

$3,330

Yes

10%

No

90%
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