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Resolution Date: Jan 2, 2023

Volume

$66,279

Yes

81%

19%

Will Russia Formally Declare War on Ukraine in 2022?

Volume

$3,911

Yes

Resolution Date: Jun 2, 2022

88%

Will Russia Lose Over 775 Tanks by May 31st?

Volume

$2,175

Yes

Who Will Win the 2022 Brazilian Presidential Election?

Resolution Date: Dec 15, 2022

Volume

$1,203

Jair Bolsonaro

30%

Luís Inácio Lula da Silva

67%

When Will the Russia-Ukraine War End?

Volume

$1,120

Before Oct. 1, 2022

17%

Oct. 1 - Dec. 31, 2022

19.5%

Will Donald Trump be Back on Twitter by September 1st?

Resolution Date: Sep 3, 2022

Volume

$1,058

Yes

96%

Will there be an Armed Conflict Between Taiwan and China by 2023?

Resolution Date: Jan 2, 2024

Volume

$682

Yes

95%

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be Overturned by 2024?

Volume

$31

Yes

16%

84%

Will SCOTUS Strike Down Mississippi Ban on Pre-Viability Abortions in Dobbs?

Resolution Date: Aug 2, 2022

Volume

$21

Yes

94%

Will Joe Biden Resign During his First Term?

Resolution Date: Jan 20, 2025

Volume

$11

Yes

20%

80%

NBA: Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors

Volume

Dallas Mavericks

50.9%

Golden State Warriors

Resolution Date: Jul 2, 2023

Will Joe Biden be Impeached by June 30, 2023?

Volume

Yes

26%

74%

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Popular Markets

Will Russia Conquer the Donbass by the End of July 2022?

Resolution Date: Aug 4, 2022

Volume

$27,649

Yes

23%

77%

Will Volodymyr Zelensky Remain President of Ukraine by 2023?

Resolution Date: Jan 15, 2023

Volume

$26,448

Yes

88%

Resolution Date: Jul 5, 2022

How Long Will the Russia-Ukraine War of 2022 Last?

Volume

$19,507

Ends by March 5th

0.1%

After March 5th but by March 15th

0.1%

Will Russian Troops Enter Kiev in 2022?

Resolution Date: Jan 7, 2023

Volume

$17,946

Yes

16%

84%

Will Donald Trump Become President by the End of 2022?

Resolution Date: Dec 31, 2022

Volume

$13,122

Yes

98%

Will Insight Prediction Become a Unicorn by the End of 2025?

Resolution Date: Jan 5, 2026

Volume

$4,121

Yes

Resolution Date: Dec 7, 2023

Will Russian Troops Enter Odessa, Ukraine in 2022?

Volume

$3,915

Yes

5.5%

94.5%

Who Will Win the World Cup? (Qatar 2022)

Resolution Date: Nov 20, 2022

Volume

$3,723

Brazil

14.4%

France

13%

Will the NBER Declare a Recession in 2022?

Resolution Date: Mar 31, 2023

Volume

$3,409

Yes

29%

71%

Will Russian Troops Enter Lviv in 2022?

Resolution Date: Jan 7, 2023

Volume

$2,841

Yes

3.1%

96.9%

Who Will be Senate Majority Leader on Feb. 1, 2023?

Resolution Date: Feb 2, 2023

Volume

$2,400

Mitch McConnell

76%

Chuck Schumer

18%

Will the Republican Party Win the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2022 Midterm Elections?

Resolution Date: Jan 31, 2023

Volume

$2,166

Yes

87.1%

12.9%

Will There be a Nuclear Escalation in 2022?

Volume

$2,116

Yes

Resolution Date: Jun 4, 2022

88%

Will Kyiv Fall to Russian Forces by June 2022?

Volume

$1,827

Yes

0.2%

99.8%

Will Ryan Enos Have a Paper Retracted in 2022?

Volume

$1,663

Yes

41%

59%

Will the US Rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal Before 2023?

Volume

$1,451

Yes

18%

82%

Will Milo Yiannopoulos Return to Twitter by 2023?

Volume

$1,370

Yes

40%

60%

Will Ukraine be Partitioned? (200,000 km2)

Resolution Date: Jan 31, 2023

Volume

$1,365

Yes

18%

82%

Will the Republican Party Win the Senate in the 2022 Midterm Elections?

Volume

$1,254

Yes

79%

21%

Will Joe Biden be President on June 30th, 2022?

Resolution Date: Jul 2, 2022

Volume

$1,109

Yes

98.6%

1.4%

Will Russia Invade Any Country Other Than Ukraine in 2022?

Resolution Date: Jan 3, 2024

Volume

$1,073

Yes

93%

Who will be Speaker of the House on January 1, 2024?

Volume

$1,016

Kevin McCarthy

70%

Hakeem Jeffries

Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be Charged With a Federal Crime by July 1, 2022?

Resolution Date: Jun 2, 2022

Volume

$972

Yes

Resolution Date: Jan 2, 2023

Will Elon Musk Acquire a Twitter Board Seat by the End of 2022?

Volume

$905

Yes

35%

65%

Will Alex Jones Return to Twitter by 2023?

Resolution Date: Sep 4, 2022

Volume

$860

Yes

30%

70%

UEFA Champions Final: Liverpool vs Real Madrid

Start date: May 28, 2022

Volume

$600

Liverpool

48.1%

Real Madrid

26.4%

Will Trump be Charged with a Crime in Georgia by Sep. 1?

Volume

$471

Yes

Resolution Date: May 9, 2023

Who Will Win the 2022 Pennsylvania Republican Senate Nomination?

Volume

$401

Mehmet Oz

76%

Kathy Barnette

33%

Will Dianne Feinstein Remain a Senator for the Duration of 2022?

Resolution Date: Apr 1, 2023

Volume

$360

Yes

68%

32%

Will 2022 be the Hottest Year on Record?

Volume

$351

Yes

11%

89%

Who will Win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Resolution Date: Oct 1, 2024

Volume

$312

Joe Biden

40%

Kamala Harris

28%

Which of these 10 Asia-Pacific leaders will leave office next?

Resolution Date: May 6, 2023

Volume

$311

Naftali Bennett

Resolution Date: May 1, 2023

Vladimir Putin

15%

Will Alexander Lukashenko Remain President of Belarus Through 2022?

Volume

$310

Yes

91%

Will there be a Federal Mask Requirement for Domestic Flights as of November 8, 2022?

Resolution Date: Nov 12, 2022

Volume

$297

Yes

19%

81%

Will Donald Trump be Indicted in 2022?

Volume

$280

Yes

14%

86%

Will Ukraine be Partitioned? (300,00km2)

Resolution Date: Jan 21, 2025

Volume

$199

Yes

98%

Which Party Will Win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Volume

$197

Democrats

46%

Republicans

54.8%

Who will Win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?

Resolution Date: Dec 12, 2024

Volume

$187

Trump

42%

Ron DeSantis

29%

Will Dan Ariely Have a Paper Retracted in 2022?

Resolution Date: Jan 7, 2023

Volume

$172

Yes

14%

86%

Who Will Be Elected President of Colombia in 2022?

Volume

$144

Gustavo Petro

65%

Federico Gutiérrez

32%

Will There be a Comment Paper Accepted on any Article by Nick Bloom, John van Reenen, Enrico Spolaore, or Romain Wacziarg by 12/31/2023?

Resolution Date: May 3, 2023

Volume

$140

Yes

14%

86%

Will Xi Jinping be Re-elected CCP General Secretary Before 2023?

Volume

$100

Yes

80%

20%

Will Vladimir Putin Remain President of Russia Through June 2022?

Resolution Date: Jul 2, 2022

Volume

$51

Yes

96.8%

3.2%

NHL: Calgary Flames vs Edmonton Oilers

Resolution Date: Jan 7, 2030

Volume

$38

Calgary Flames

48.8%

Edmonton Oilers

52.8%

Will Total exaFLOPS of all TOP500 Supercomputers Exceed 500 by June 2030?

Volume

$11

Yes

Resolution Date: Jan 1, 2025

Who Will Be Speaker of the House of Representatives in the Next Congress?

Volume

Kevin McCarthy

71%

Steve Scalise

Resolution Date: Jan 2, 2023

Will Anthony Fauci Remain NIAID director Through the End of the Year?

Volume

Yes

80%

20%

Will There be a Sino-American war by 2025?

Resolution Date: Jan 1, 2025

Volume

Yes

98%

Will There be a Sino-India War by 2025?

Resolution Date: Jan 1, 2025

Volume

Yes

96%

MLB: Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros

Volume

Cleveland Guardians

35.4%

Houston Astros

64.6%

MLB: St. Louis Cardinals vs Toronto Blue Jays

Volume

St. Louis Cardinals

42%

Toronto Blue Jays

58%

NBA: Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Start date: May 25, 2022

Volume

Boston Celtics

51.7%

Miami Heat

48.3%

MLB: New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants

Volume

New York Mets

44.9%

San Francisco Giants

55.1%

MLB: Oakland Athletics vs Seattle Mariners

Volume

Oakland Athletics

42%

Seattle Mariners

58%

MLB: Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres

Volume

Milwaukee Brewers

54.6%

San Diego Padres

45.4%

MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals

Volume

Arizona Diamondbacks

62.5%

Kansas City Royals

37.5%

MLB: Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers

Volume

Los Angeles Angels

60.8%

Texas Rangers

39.2%

MLB: Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox

Volume

Boston Red Sox

41%

Chicago White Sox

59%

MLB: Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins

Volume

Detroit Tigers

33.5%

Minnesota Twins

66.5%

NHL: Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Rangers

Volume

Carolina Hurricanes

New York Rangers