Will Biden's 538 Approval Rating for June 30 be Under 40%?
Market Information
| Market Open Date | Market Close Date | Currency | Profit Fee |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-08 | 2022-07-02 | USD | 0% |
Rules
This market will resolve positively if President Biden's FiveThirtyEight average job approval rating for June 30 is lower than 40.0%. The approval rating will be drawn from the polling index graph entitled "How popular/unpopular is Joe Biden?", available at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, using "All Polls", as seen on June 30th, 11:59 PM ET.
There are "taker fees" on this market, of .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .075*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20. The full taker fee schedule is here. End Date 07/02/2022