Will Donald Trump File to Run for President Before 2023?
Market Information
| Market Open Date | Market Close Date | Currency | Profit Fee |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-05 | 2023-07-05 | USD | 0% |
Rules
This market will resolve to Yes if Donald Trump becomes a candidate for President of the United States in the 2024 general election by filing a Statement of Candidacy with the Federal Election Commission, or by amending an existing Statement of Candidacy, designating a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election, or otherwise filing with the FEC a communication having the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for that election, by the end of the year. Filing by an authorized representative of the candidate will also count.
If Trump merely announces publicly (or privately) his intention to run, but does not file with the FEC, the market will resolve to No.
The filing of clerical, corrective, or other administrative updates, amendments, or disclosures related to Mr. Trump's previous campaigns or campaign committees will be insufficient to cause this market to resolve as Yes.
There are "taker fees" on this market, of .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .075*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20. The full taker fee schedule is here.