Who Will Win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?

Contract

Best Yes Price

96¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 96%
European Decimal Odds: 1.042
American Odds: -2400
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

1.5¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 1.5%
European Decimal Odds: 66.667
American Odds: +6566.7
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

2.5¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 2.5%
European Decimal Odds: 40
American Odds: +3900
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

0.5¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 0.5%
European Decimal Odds: 200
American Odds: +19900
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 1%
European Decimal Odds: 100
American Odds: +9900
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

0.1¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 0.1%
European Decimal Odds: 1000
American Odds: +99900
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

91¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 91%
European Decimal Odds: 1.099
American Odds: -1011.1
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2022-07-06 2024-07-06 USD 0%

Rules

The market will resolve positively based on the individual who wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Replacement of a nominee for any reason prior to election day but after the confirmation of the nominee at the Republican National Convention will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

There are "maker subsidies" and "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later. The maker subsidies are .025 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Maker Subsidy per share = .025*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .075*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the maker subsidy to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.025*(20/100)*(80/100) = $0.40, and the taker fee would be $1.20. The full fee schedule is here. End Date: 12/31/2024