Who Will Win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?

Contract

Donald Trump

Best Yes Price

45¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 45%
European Decimal Odds: 2.222
American Odds: +122.2
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Ron DeSantis

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Mike Pence

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Nikki Haley

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Kanye West

Best Yes Price

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 1%
European Decimal Odds: 100
American Odds: +9900
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Tom Cotton

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Marco Rubio

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Kristi Noem

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Larry Hogan

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Rick Scott

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Josh Hawley

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Donald Trump Jr.

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Glenn Youngkin

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Tim Scott

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Tucker Carlson

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Ted Cruz

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Mitt Romney

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Mike Pompeo

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2022-07-06 2023-07-06 USD 0%

Rules

The market will resolve positively based on the individual who wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Replacement of a nominee for any reason prior to election day but after the confirmation of the nominee at the Republican National Convention will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

There are "maker subsidies" and "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later. The maker subsidies are .025 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Maker Subsidy per share = .025*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .075*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the maker subsidy to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.025*(20/100)*(80/100) = $0.40, and the taker fee would be $1.20. The full fee schedule is here. End Date: 12/31/2024