Will There Be an Armed Conflict Between Taiwan and China by 2023?
Market Information
| Market Open Date | Market Close Date | Currency | Profit Fee |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-02-23 | 2023-01-01 | USD | 3% |
Rules
This question will resolve positively if there are at least three credible sources reporting an exchange of weapon fire between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of Taiwan and the People's Republic of China before January 1st, 2023. Question taken in part from Metaculus. There is a 3% profit fee on this market. End Date 01/01/2023
Update: The "Bet Locks" feature has been enabled on 11/27/2022. This means that bets placed after announcement or confirmation will be returned. Funds from liquidated positions will be unable to be withdrawn or traded for 72-hours.