Will there be an Armed Conflict Between Taiwan and China by 2023?
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This question will resolve positively if there are at least three credible sources reporting an exchange of weapon fire between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of Taiwan and the People's Republic of China before January 1st, 2023. Question taken in part from Metaculus. There is a 3% profit fee on this market. End Date 01/01/2023