Which Party Will Win the 2022 U.S. Senate Election in Georgia?

Market Resolved: Democratic

Contract

Best Yes Price

99.5¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 99.5%
European Decimal Odds: 1.005
American Odds: -19900
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 1%
European Decimal Odds: 100
American Odds: +9900
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Taker Fee Maker Subsidy
2022-07-16 2022-12-31 USD 0.075% -0.025%

Rules

This market will resolve positively to the party specified, based on the ballot-listed party or party preference of the winner of the 2022 Georgia general election for the US Senate. Insight Prediction reserves the right of judgment in the event of any ambiguity, and consensus reporting may be used if necessary.

There are "maker subsidies" and "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that is matched later. The maker subsidies are .025 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Maker Subsidy per share = .025*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .075*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the maker subsidy to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.025*(20/100)*(80/100) = $0.40, and the taker fee would be $1.20. The full fee schedule is here.

End Date: 12/31/2022