How Long Will the Russia-Ukraine War of 2022 Last?
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This is a market on how long the Russia-Ukraine War of 2022 will last. It will be decided according to which of these events happens first: (1) there is a surrender, or (2) if either government announces the end of military operations, or an end to hostilities. Note that resolution can be triggered by announcements and may not correspond to when the end of fighting actually occurs. (Such as if one side surrenders, it is reported by several credible media sources, but then fighting ends up continuing after that date. It will still resolve on the basis of the first announcement.)
For example if an end to hostilities is announced on 3/8/2022, the contract market for “March 10” would resolve as “Yes” and all other markets as “No”. If an announcement occurs on March 15th, then the contract "After March 5th but by March 15th" would be satisfied.
Fees on this market are 3% of profits.