Will Annual **Nominal U.S. GDP Growth** Be Above 7.5% in 2022?


Best Yes Price



Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 80%
European Decimal Odds: 1.25
American Odds: -400
Ask Price Ask Size
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2022-08-23 2023-01-26 USD 0%


This market will resolve "yes" if nominal US GDP growth will be higher than 7.5% in 2022 according to the BEA. The data is scheduled to be announced at 8:30AM on January 26th, 2023. 

There are "maker subsidies" and "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later. The maker subsidies are .025 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Maker Subsidy per share = .025*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .075*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the maker subsidy to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.025*(20/100)*(80/100) = $0.40, and the taker fee would be $1.20. The full fee schedule is here.  End Date: January 26th, 2022.