Which Party Will Win the 2022 New York Gubernatorial Election?

Contract

Democratic
Democratic

Latest Yes Price

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Options

Latest Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Republican
Republican

Latest Yes Price

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Options

Latest Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Independent
Independent

Latest Yes Price

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Options

Latest Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2022-09-12 2022-11-30 USD 0%

Rules

This market will resolve positively to the party that wins the 2022 New York gubernatorial election. Insight Prediction reserves the right of judgment in the event of any ambiguity, and consensus reporting may be used if necessary.

There are "maker subsidies" and "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later. The maker subsidies are .025 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Maker Subsidy per share = .025*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .075*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the maker subsidy to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.025*(20/100)*(80/100) = $0.40, and the taker fee would be $1.20. The full fee schedule is here. End Date: 11/30/2022