Who Will Be Speaker of the House on January 1, 2024?

Contract

Kevin McCarthy

Best Yes Price

85¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 85%
European Decimal Odds: 1.176
American Odds: -566.7
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Contract

Hakeem Jeffries

Best Yes Price

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 1%
European Decimal Odds: 100
American Odds: +9900
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Contract

Nancy Pelosi

Best Yes Price

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 1%
European Decimal Odds: 100
American Odds: +9900
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Contract

Steve Scalise

Best Yes Price

25¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 25%
European Decimal Odds: 4
American Odds: +300
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Contract

Donald Trump

Best Yes Price

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 4%
European Decimal Odds: 25
American Odds: +2400
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Contract

Jim Jordan

Best Yes Price

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Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 6%
European Decimal Odds: 16.667
American Odds: +1566.7
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Contract

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Best Yes Price

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 3%
European Decimal Odds: 33.333
American Odds: +3233.3
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Contract

Elise Stefanik

Best Yes Price

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Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 4%
European Decimal Odds: 25
American Odds: +2400
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Contract

Sarah Palin

Best Yes Price

1.2¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 1.2%
European Decimal Odds: 83.333
American Odds: +8233.3
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Contract

Steny Hoyer

Best Yes Price

1.5¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 1.5%
European Decimal Odds: 66.667
American Odds: +6566.7
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Contract

James Clyburn

Best Yes Price

1.5¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 1.5%
European Decimal Odds: 66.667
American Odds: +6566.7
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Contract

Paul Ryan

Best Yes Price

0.7¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 0.7%
European Decimal Odds: 142.857
American Odds: +14185.7
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Contract

Ilhan Omar

Best Yes Price

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 1%
European Decimal Odds: 100
American Odds: +9900
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Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2022-04-04 2024-01-03 USD 3%

Rules

This market will resolve according to who the speaker of the United States House of Representatives is on January 1, 11:59 AM EST, 2024.

There is a 3% profit tax on this market. End Date: 01/01/2024