Will Dianne Feinstein Remain a Senator Through December 31, 2023?


Best Yes Price



Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 95%
European Decimal Odds: 1.053
American Odds: -1900
Ask Price Ask Size
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2023-05-13 2024-01-01 USD 0%


This market will resolve positively if US Senator Dianne Feinstein remains a senator through December 31, 2023 at 11:59PM ET. If Senator Feinstein resigns or otherwise is removed from office or leaves her post, then this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official information from the US Congress, or if necessary, a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of any ambiguity or controversy, Insight Prediction reserves the right of judgment. End Date: 01/01/2024

There are "maker subsidies" and "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that is matched later. The maker subsidies are .025 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Maker Subsidy per share = .025*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .075*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the maker subsidy to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.025*(20/100)*(80/100) = $0.40, and the taker fee would be $1.20. The full fee schedule is here. The "Bet Locks" feature is enabled for this market, so bets placed after announcement or confirmation will be returned. Funds from liquidated positions will be unable to be withdrawn or traded for 72-hours. See FAQ for further information.