Who Will Win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Contract

Best Yes Price

71¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 71%
European Decimal Odds: 1.408
American Odds: -244.8
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

22¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 22%
European Decimal Odds: 4.545
American Odds: +354.5
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 2%
European Decimal Odds: 50
American Odds: +4900
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

1.5¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 1.5%
European Decimal Odds: 66.667
American Odds: +6566.7
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

1.3¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 1.3%
European Decimal Odds: 76.923
American Odds: +7592.3
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

0.7¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 0.7%
European Decimal Odds: 142.857
American Odds: +14185.7
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

13¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 13%
European Decimal Odds: 7.692
American Odds: +669.2
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

0.2¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 0.2%
European Decimal Odds: 500
American Odds: +49900
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

0.2¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 0.2%
European Decimal Odds: 500
American Odds: +49900
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Best Yes Price

--

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Taker Fee Maker Subsidy
2023-10-16 2024-12-31 USD 0.075% -0.025%

Rules

The market will resolve positively based on the individual who wins the 2024 General Election for U.S. President, as determined by securing a majority of presidential electors according to the Electoral College system. In the event of any ambiguity or controversy, Insight Prediction reserves the right of judgment and may wait for there to be a definitive announced winner or other additional official reporting. End Date: 12/31/2024

There are "maker subsidies" and "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later. The maker subsidies are .025 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Maker Subsidy per share = .025*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .075*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the maker subsidy to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.025*(20/100)*(80/100) = $0.40, and the taker fee would be $1.20. The full fee schedule is here.