Will RFK Jr. Get 5%+ in the Popular Vote?

Contract

Best Yes Price

40¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 40%
European Decimal Odds: 2.5
American Odds: +150
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2023-10-16 2025-03-01 USD 0%

Rules

This market will resolve positively if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. receives 5.00% or higher support in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, as determined by the official 2020 Presidential General Election Results from the Federal Election Commission (FEC). End Date: 03/01/2025

Note: This market will rely on the exact percentages as reported by the FEC.

There are "maker subsidies" and "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later. The maker subsidies are .025 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Maker Subsidy per share = .025*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .075*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the maker subsidy to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.025*(20/100)*(80/100) = $0.40, and the taker fee would be $1.20. The full fee schedule is here.