Will Trump Win Every State in the GOP Primaries? (Clean Sweep)


Best Yes Price



Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Ask Price Ask Size
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2024-01-19 2024-07-01 USD 0%


This market will resolve positively if Donald Trump wins every single state in the 2024 GOP Primary ("clean sweep"). The resolution source will be official information from the national GOP and state GOP parties. However, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

For the purposes of this market, every state refers to the 50 states in the United States and excludes any US territories. Both primaries and caucuses qualify for this market. If both are held for a particular state, then it will suffice if Trump wins at least one of them. If all primaries/caucuses are cancelled for a particular state, then that state will be excluded from this market. If Trump loses any state, then this market may immediately resolve to "No".

There are "maker subsidies" and "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that is matched later. The maker subsidies are .025 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Maker Subsidy per share = .025*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .075*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the maker subsidy to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.025*(20/100)*(80/100) = $0.40, and the taker fee would be $1.20. The full fee schedule is here.