Will Biden Drop Out by Next Friday?

Market Expired


Best Yes Price



Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 0.5%
European Decimal Odds: 200
American Odds: +19900
Ask Price Ask Size
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Start Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2024-02-11 2024-02-08 19:00 ET 2024-02-16 USD 0%


This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race by February 16, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race within the market timeframe, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Joe Biden does not drop out or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 Presidential Election by 12:00 AM ET on February 17, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. 

There are "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later.  The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .1*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the taker fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20.