Will RFK, Jr. Be Trump's Choice for Vice President?

Contract

Best Yes Price

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 4%
European Decimal Odds: 25
American Odds: +2400
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Taker Fee
2024-05-09 2024-12-31 USD 0.075%

Rules

This market can resolve based on an announcement from the Trump campaign or credible media reports that Donald J. Trump has selected Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. to be his Vice Presidential nominee. It does not need to wait until the Republican Convention. 

There are "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later.  The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .1*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the taker fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20.