Will RFK Jr. Place First or Second in Any State?


Best Yes Price



Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 16%
European Decimal Odds: 6.25
American Odds: +525
Ask Price Ask Size
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Start Date Market Close Date Currency Taker Fee
2024-05-09 2024-05-08 14:12 ET 2024-11-05 USD 0.075%


This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the second most votes in any state in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only statewide popular vote results will be considered. Washington D.C., territories and individual congressional district electors will not count towards the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on the official certification of the election.

There are "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later.  The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .1*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the taker fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20.