Trump found guilty in hush money case before election day?

Market Resolved: YES


Best Yes Price



Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: -
European Decimal Odds: -
American Odds: -
Ask Price Ask Size
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Start Date Market Close Date Currency Taker Fee
2024-05-29 2024-04-15 17:31 ET 2024-11-06 USD 0.075%


This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is found guilty of "falsifying business records in the first degree in violation of Penal Law §175.10” in the case of The People of the State of New York v. Donald J. Trump by November 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump’s case is dismissed, or ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, this market will resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open to consider further retrials - if by election day Trump has not yet been found guilty or has not entered a guilty plea, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.

There are "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later.  The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .1*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the taker fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20.