Will Definitive Evidence Link Barron Trump to the Creation of $DJT by 12/31/2024?

Contract

Best Yes Price

15¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 15%
European Decimal Odds: 6.667
American Odds: +566.7
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Taker Fee Maker Subsidy
2024-06-27 2025-01-01 USD 0.075% -0.025%

Rules

Will there be definitive evidence that Barron Trump was involved in the creation of the $DJT token on the Solana chain? This market will only resolve yes based on definitive evidence. This includes official statements from the Trumps or their spokespeople, the Trump campaign or organization, or is confirmed by reporting from a top-tier mainstream news source -- reporters from one of the following news organizations: New York Times, the WSJ, The Washington Post, Politico, CNN, Fox News, Bloomberg, Newsweek, NYTimes magazine, the Economist, Reuters, ABC, NBC, or CBS. Screenshots of conversations with "BT", tweets by random individuals, or other second-hand and unconfirmed information will not count, and neither will confirmation from any news source not listed above (even if reputable), including from the NY Post, from "Pirate Wires", and from influencers who rent twitter spaces for money. 

Update: A screen recording of unverified individuals will also not count (such as an anonymous "BT" on zoom where the person's identity can not be proven beyond doubt).

Bet Locks are enabled for this market, which means that after selling out of this market, you'll need to wait 48 hours to withdrawal. It also means that bets placed after news deciding this market will be returned. 

There are "taker fees" and "maker subsidies" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later.  The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .1*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the taker fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20. The maker subsidy is .025 times the price, times the potential profit. Thus, the maker subsidy to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.025*(20/100)*(80/100) = $0.40