Will Michelle Obama Replace Kamala Harris as the Democratic Candidate in September?

Market Expired

Contract

Best Yes Price

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 1%
European Decimal Odds: 100
American Odds: +9900
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Taker Fee
2024-08-31 2024-10-01 USD 0.075%

Rules

This market will resolve yes if it is credibly reported that Michelle Obama will replace Kamala Harris at the top of the Democrat's Presidential ticket by the end of the day on September 30th, 2024, 11:59ET. 

There are "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book.  The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .1*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the taker fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20.