JD Vance Replaced As Republican VP Nominee by November 5th?

Contract

Best Yes Price

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 1%
European Decimal Odds: 100
American Odds: +9900
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Taker Fee
2024-09-13 2024-11-05 USD 0.075%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from his candidacy for Vice President in the 2024 US election by 11:59 PM ET on September 7th, 2024. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent JD Vance from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If JD Vance does not announce his withdrawal or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race by the specified time, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

There are "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book.  The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .1*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the taker fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20. "Bet Locks" are enabled which means that bets placed after the announcement can be returned, and cash is held for 48 hours after cashing out of this market.