Will the US Confirm that Aliens Exist by the end of 2024?

Contract

Best Yes Price

1.9¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 1.9%
European Decimal Odds: 53.476
American Odds: +5247.6
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Market Information

Market Open Date Start Date Market Close Date Currency
2024-11-19 2024-02-01 05:26 ET 2025-01-01 USD

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31st, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.