Will a Nuclear Weapon Detonate by May 1st?
Market Information
| Market Open Date | Market Close Date | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-22 | 2025-05-01 | USD |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a nuclear weapon is detonated anywhere in the world between February 21, 2024 and May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market's resolution, any detonation of a nuclear weapon anywhere on the planet Earth will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations.
Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation will result in a "Yes" resolution.
This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.
The "bet locks" feature is enabled, meaning that bets placed after an announcement is made can be returned. All funds from this market will be locked for 48 hours before you can withdrawal them.
There are no fees of any kind on this market.