Will Joe Biden Remain President Through 2022?


Latest Yes Price



Latest Price Implies

Implied Probability: 97%
European Decimal Odds: 1.031
American Odds: -3233.3
Ask Price Ask Size
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2022-06-03 2023-01-02 USD 0%


This is a market on whether Joe Biden will remain President of the U.S. from the creation of this market to December 31st, 2022, 11:59 PM ET. The market will resolve two days later on January 2nd, 2022. The resolution source is the Library of Congress: https://www.loc.gov/rr/print/list/057_chron.html

There are "taker fees" on this market, of .075 times the expected profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .075*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20. The full taker fee schedule is here.  End Date: 01/02/2023