Will the NBER Declare a Recession in 2022?

Contract

Recession in 2022?

Best Yes Price

24¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 24%
European Decimal Odds: 4.167
American Odds: +316.7
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Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2022-02-08 2023-03-31 USD 0%

Rules

This market is whether the NBER (National Bureau of Economic Research) will declare that a recession occurred in 2022. They take into account many factors and don't necessarily use strict numerical metrics such as two consecutive quarters with negative real GDP. This market will resolve "Recession in 2022" to "Yes" if the NBER declares a recession occurred in 2022. Resolution Date: 31-March-2023. Resolution Source: https://www.nber.org/. Insight Prediction collects no fees of any kind in this market.