Which Party Will Win the U.S. Senate Election in Pennsylvania in 2022?

Contract

Democratic
Democratic

Latest Yes Price

72.2¢

Options

Latest Price Implies

Implied Probability: 72.2%
European Decimal Odds: 1.385
American Odds: -259.7
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Contract

Republican
Republican

Latest Yes Price

32¢

Options

Latest Price Implies

Implied Probability: 32%
European Decimal Odds: 3.125
American Odds: +212.5
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2022-07-15 2022-12-31 USD 0%

Rules

This market will resolve positively to the party specified, based on the ballot-listed party or party preference of the winner of the 2022 Pennsylvania general election for the US Senate. Insight Prediction reserves the right of judgment in the event of any ambiguity, and consensus reporting may be used if necessary.


There are "taker fees" on this market, of .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .075*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20. The full taker fee schedule is here. End Date: 12/31/2022