Will Hunter Biden Be Arrested Before April?

Contract

Best Yes Price

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 5%
European Decimal Odds: 20
American Odds: +1900
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Start Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2024-02-12 2024-02-01 05:26 ET 2024-03-31 USD 0%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if son of US president Joseph Biden, Hunter Biden, is arrested by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however official information from the governments involved in any action against Hunter Biden and information from Hunter Biden's legal representatives will also be used.

There are "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later.  The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .1*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the taker fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20.