Will Biden Drop Out Before Haley?

Contract

Best Yes Price

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 2%
European Decimal Odds: 50
American Odds: +4900
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Start Date Market Close Date Currency Profit Fee
2024-02-12 2024-02-12 13:00 ET 2024-11-05 USD 0%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Biden" if President Joseph Biden drops out of the 2024 US presidential race before Nikki Haley. This market will resolve to "Haley" if Nikki Haley drops out of the 2024 US presidential race before President Joseph Biden. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent either candidate from continuing the race, this market will consider the candidate that can no longer run to have dropped out. If neither candidate drops out at any point before the 2024 election day (November 5, 2024 ET), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from this candidate or their official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.