Will RFK Jr. debate Biden or Trump?

Contract

Best Yes Price

28¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 28%
European Decimal Odds: 3.571
American Odds: +257.1
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Start Date Market Close Date Currency Taker Fee
2024-06-01 2024-05-08 14:12 ET 2024-11-04 USD 0.075%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. engages in a live, publicly broadcast debate with either Joe Biden or Donald Trump by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Both in-person debates and virtual debates will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. The resolution source for this market will be footage of such a debate, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.

There are "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later.  The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .1*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the taker fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20.