Hunter Biden sentenced to jail before election day?


Best Yes Price



Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 30%
European Decimal Odds: 3.333
American Odds: +233.3
Ask Price Ask Size
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Start Date Market Close Date Currency Taker Fee
2024-06-07 2024-06-03 14:02 ET 2024-11-04 USD 0.075%


This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden is sentenced to spend time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of his ongoing federal firearms charges trial, by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If this trial ends (e.g. mistrial) without the rendering of a sentence, this market will immediately resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

There are "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book, whereas the maker subsidy happens when you place an unmatched order that can be matched later.  The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .1*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the taker fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20.