Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?

Contract

Best Yes Price

99.9¢

Options

Best Price Implies

Implied Probability: 99.9%
European Decimal Odds: 1.001
American Odds: -99900
Buy
Ask Price Ask Size
Sell
Bid Price Bid Size

Market Information

Market Open Date Start Date Market Close Date Currency Taker Fee
2024-09-03 2024-08-06 16:12 ET 2024-11-04 USD 0.075%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final Republican ticket for the 2024 U.S. presidential election consists of Donald Trump and J.D. Vance. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the official Republican nominees for president and vice president as of November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. If either of these nominees drop out from the election or otherwise lose the official nomination of their party for the respective presidential and vice presidential roles, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Note that whether Trump-Vance are on state ballots will have no bearing on this market - only their status as the Republican nominees will be considered. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent either of these candidates from continuing the race, this market will also immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official US governmental sources, and the Republican party (e.g. https://gop.com/, etc.).

There are "taker fees" on this market. The taker fees apply when you match an existing order on the order book. The taker fees are .075 times the price, times the potential profit (e.g., Taker Fee per share = .1*Price/100*(1-Price/100)). Thus, the taker fee to buy 100 shares at 20 cents would be: 100*.075*(20/100)*(80/100) = $1.20.

"Bet Locks" are enabled on this market, so bets made after a change in the ticket (such as from a Trump heart attack) will be returned.